AimPoint PGA Tour Picks

Fantasy Golf Picks

I’m giving myself points for picking winners.  Hopefully my picks can help you win your fantasy golf league this season.  My goal is to get to 111 points for the season, or the equivlant of picking a Top 3 finisher or better each week.

Winner = 10 points

2nd Place = 5 points

3rd Place = 3 points

Top 10 = 1 point

2009 Fantasy Golf Picks Total:  16 Points

2009 Fantasy Golf Preview Weekly Average:  2.0 Points

Last week: 

My picks came down to the Villegas/Ogilvy match.  Had Villegas had won he most likely would have made it to the final as he was on fire through the first two rounds.  It is great to see Ogilvy becoming the 2nd best golfer in the world, and I suspect someone who could beat Tiger in a Sunday final pairing.  Lets hope we get to see that this year.  Other than Villegas, only Donald made it past the first round, losing to Els on Friday.  Tiger did struggle as I predicted but it was exciting to have him back.  All in all it was must see Golf TV for the first two days that fizzled some on the weekend.

This week:

This event marks the start of the Florida swing.  Ernie Els defend with only two Top 10 OWGR in the field (Garcia and Villegas).  PGA National plays long for a par 70 at 7160 yards, with a spectacular 604 yard Par 5 18th. 

1. Camilo Villegas

Camilo only needed 26 holes through the first two days of Match Play, advancing to round 3 in dominating fashion.  He lost to the eventual winner Geoff Ogilvy that round, but missed several putts inside 6 feet that could have turned the Match in his favor.  Assuming that Camilo has been working on his putting this week, expect to see his name at the top of the Leaderboard all weekend.   He has never missed a cut here and finished T2 (lost in a playoff) in 2007.  As on of the top ranked golfers in the field he is a smart and safe pick this week.

2. Luke Donald (withdrew)

Like Villegas, Donald has yet to miss the cut here.  He finished 2nd last season (losing by one shot to Els) and won this event in 2006.  Just going on course history here Donald is a safe play this week, especially in Yahoo! leagues where the C group is thin.

3. Justin Leonard 

The 2004 Honda Classic champion, Leonard has struggled here the last few seasons with a T30 finish in 2008 and two missed cuts in 2007 and 2006.  Leonard was solid in Match Play, advancing to the quarterfinals where he lost a tight match to Ross Fisher.  Justin is slowing moving up the OWGR, currently sitting at 25th.  It’s a great opportunity for him to shine in a somewhat weak field. Expect a Top 10 finish.

AimPoint PGA Tour Picks

Fantasy Golf Picks

I’m giving myself points for picking winners.  Hopefully my picks can help you win your fantasy golf league this season.  My goal is to get to 111 points for the season, or the equivlant of picking a Top 3 finisher or better each week.

Winner = 10 points

2nd Place = 5 points

3rd Place = 3 points

Top 10 = 1 point

2009 Fantasy Golf Picks Total:  16 Points

2009 Fantasy Golf Preview Weekly Average:  2.3 Points

Last week: 

Allenby flirted with the Top 10 at Riviera but that was about it.  Weir made the cut but was never in contention and Glover shot 73 & 74 to miss the cut.  The drought continues.

This week:

Match Play is a crap shoot, but one of the best non-major tournaments of the year.  My general feeling going into tomorrow is that Tiger will struggle some but still manage to win a few matches.  But because they are playing on a brand new course it is a little more difficult to bring in past performance.  The Ritz-Carlton GC in Tucson plays very long and it’s going to be the putter that will determines who moves on.  For the sake of Match Play I will pick one golfer from each bracket that I think has a shot to get to the Final Four.  View the bracket here.

1. Camilo Villegas (Bobby Jones Bracket)

Camilo is coming off a T3 finish at the Buick Invitational and is the #3 seed in the Bobby Jones Bracket.  This is also the same bracket that Tiger resides in.  Tiger should have no trouble getting past #64 Brendan Jones, but could struggle in round 2 against either Goosen or Tim Clark, both of whom are playing great golf through the West Coast swing.  Villegas plays Pampling in round 1 and has a relativley easier draw in through round 3 (excluding Ogilvy).  Tiger will struggle and Villegas will come out of the Bobby Jones bracket.

2. Luke Donald (Ben Hogan Bracket)

Donald has two Top 10s in his last two starts and has a great track record in this event, finishing no worse then T17 (winning the first two rounds) since 2005.  Donald has a great draw this year with a struggling Vijay and Ernie on his side of the bracket through the first two rounds.  Dustin Johnson could pose a threat and Phil will too but ultimately I think Donald survives to make the Final Four.

3. Adam Scott (Gary Player Bracket)

Scott hasn’t played since the Sony Open (T2 finish) and could be rusty.  Looking at the top players in this bracket Scott seems the only one that jumps out at me as the #5 seed.  It’s simply a hunch.  Take it or leave it.

4. Henrik Stenson (Sam Snead Bracket)

In the last two years Stenson has a 3rd place finish and a win and as a #2 seed this year should cruise again.  #1 Harrington has looked average at best so far this year and #3 Kim has never played in this event before.  Furyk and Love III could make some noise but with his clutch experience here, look for Stenson to continue his dominance in the desert.